2022 NBA playoffs: Betting tips for Wednesday’s first round matchups

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge

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What you need to know about Wednesday’s playoff games

Enjoy What They Have to Offer You: The Bucks are the top-three defense against 3-point percentage. Nikola VucevicVucevic has been more than happy and able to provide a service in this series, averaging 8.3 3PA per match. Vucevic, Chicago’s backcourt, is not very healthy at the moment. This makes him an attractive prop target and DFS staple for this win-or go-home spot.

Chicago Deep Dish Without them, the Bulls would be nothing Alex CarusoAnd Zach LaVine tonight. LaVine led the team with 22 potential assists in Game 4. Caruso scored four dimes in 17 minutes, just before he sustained his injury. LaVine, Caruso, and both of them being questionable. DeMar DeRozanDFS lineups and’s assistance prop Ayo DosunmuIt is very inviting. If you are looking for some untapped scoring upside, Patrick WilliamsHis first playoff double-double of his career was delivered on Sunday. He should be busy Wednesday night.

Air Gordon Although the Warriors have a potent lineup, it opens up matchup opportunities for them. Aaron Gordon. In Game 4, he played a game-high 35 minutes and took 11 shots from court. He also made more free throws (10) than he did in the three previous games. Gordon’s ceiling can only be reached if he shares a court with his frontcourt partner. Nikola JokicBut his stat line on Sunday of 21 points, 6 rebound, 4 assists and 2 blocks was not an accident. He could be relied on again Wednesday night.

Joker’s Scoring: Jokic is the engine of the Nuggets offense. His generational talent for passing makes it easy for the team to create clean shots for others. However, Jokic has been forced to do more scoring. He scored 37 points in the Warriors’ last two games, and has taken at least 20 shots each game. Jokic’s 30.5 point scoring goal seems possible.

Grayson The Bucks will not be without Khris MiddletonIn the coming weeks, it will be increasing Grayson AllenIt is his offensive responsibility. Allen scored 27 points in just 12 minutes on Sunday’s win. This is evidence that he will likely be given more scoring and shooting opportunities in Game 5. Allen is also a good parlay target. Allen is well-placed to make multiple 3-pointers, having made 11 in the last two games and registering four steals.

— Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe


Game of the Night

Denver NuggetsAt Golden State Warriors
10 p.m ET, Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Line-9
Money line Warriors (-440), Nuggets (+1340)
Total: 226 points
BPI Projected Total:229 points
BPI Win% Warriors (67.3%)

Questionable: None

Exclusion:None
Note: BPI numbers take out players who are ruled-out, but assume that questionable players will still play

Notable: This series has seen both Golden State and Golden State games covered by the Warriors, which is a positive sign after failing to cover eight of their previous ten home playoff games.

Best bet: -9. The Nuggets were proud to win Game 4 and showed their pride, but the Warriors are still in need of improvement. The series is returning to the Bay Area. I expect a bounce-back effort by Jordan Poole and a comfortable Warriors win. — André Snellings

Your best option: The Nuggets avoided a sweep, however they did steal Game 4 on their own floor. This should be their only win in this series. Golden State should be closing this series in dominating fashion, with the series returning to Chase Center. Although nine points may seem like a lot, Golden State won both Game 1 and 2 at home by 16 points. Game 2 was won by 20. This playoffs, the Warriors’ 125.4 offense rating is far and away the best. They should be able take that and the home crowd to a double the win. — Tyler Fulghum


Removing the remainder of the slate

Chicago BullsAt Milwaukee Bucks
7:30 p.m ET, Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Line: Bucks (-12).
Money line Bulls (+550), Bucks (-800).
Total: 218 Points
BPI Projected Total:221.4 Points
BPI Win% Bucks (83.1%)

Questionable: Alex Caruso (concussion)

Exclusion: Zach LaVine(Health and safety protocols) Khris Middleton (MCL Sprain)
Note: BPI numbers take out players who are ruled-out, but assume that questionable players will still play

Notable: In their 10 previous playoff games, the Bucks have been 8-2 ATS and are currently below the total.

Best bet: Bucks 12. This is a large spread. But this game is just a blowout. Khris MiddletonThe Bucks seem to have played more to their strength, their enormous size advantage, after’s injury. The Bulls don’t know what the answer is. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bobby PortisAnd Brook LopezThey have lost their last two games by a combined 54 points. The Bulls might be without Milwaukee when the series resumes. Zach LaVineAnd Alex CarusoThis could make the matchup even more unfair — Snellings

Your best option: Bobby PortisOver 10.5 rebounds. Portis grabbed double-digit rebound totals in each of his three games. He had 10 rebounds in his last game but seems to be motivated to perform well against his old team. Portis is more likely to be given extra time if the game turns into a blowout than his veteran frontcourt teammates. — Snellings


Analytics edge

BPI projected highest totals

1. Golden State Warriors (117)
2. Milwaukee Bucks (116.1)
3. Denver Nuggets (112)

BPI projected lowest totals

1. Chicago Bulls (105.3)
2. Denver Nuggets (116.1)
3. Milwaukee Bucks (116.1)

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