Tips for betting on the Eastern Conference finals

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What you need to know about Game 6

If it isn't broken: The Heat were outplayed throughout the series. Bam Adebayo Has had great success. Adebayo was successful in the first half of Game 3 as well as Game 5. He made 13 of 20 shots, while the rest of his team shot 39.2%. Miami should be reliant on Adebayo often and early in this critical Game 6.

Creation:: Derrick White Over the last two games, he has averaged 5.5 assists per game and 11.5 potential assists. His assist prop for Game 6 stands at 3.5. This is a good value to consider if Adebayo continues his pace as a distributor. Adebayo has provided eight potential assists for Miami in the past two games and his assist prop stands at 2.5.

— Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe


Game 6: Breaking down

Tips for betting on the Eastern Conference finalsTips for betting on the Eastern Conference finalsMiami Heat at Boston Celtics
8:30 p.m ET, TD Garden, Boston

Line: Celtics (-8.5)
Moneyline: Celtics (-450), Heat (+350)
Total: 201 points
BPI Projected Total: 210.7 points
BPI Win% Celtics (72.2%)

Questionable: Tyler Herro (groin)

Ruled out: None
Note: BPI numbers take out players who are ruled-out, but assume that questionable players will still play

Notable: Teams that were favored by more then five points and had an over/under of less than 210 won just over 68% this season. This is a good rate but seven percentage points lower that the win rate for such favorites when the over/under exceeds 210 points.

Best bet: Celtics 2H (-3.5). The Heat are currently on fumes, and have a multitude of injuries. Their championship culture and pedigree is admirable, but their injury luck against the Celtics team is just too much. Miami will be able to keep the game close for at least the first quarter, just like they did in Game 5. However, Boston's stronger and deeper roster will eventually overwhelm them in the second quarter and end the series. In 15 of the last 20 quarters played by the Heat, the Celtics outscored them. — Tyler Fulghum

Your best option: Robert Williams III Over 15.5 points + rebound. Robert Williams III has been the dominant player on defense for the Heat in Game 5. On Wednesday, Miami was 0-for-11 when Williams attempted a field goal. He played 27 minutes with 6 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. Williams could have a double-double in Game 6, as the Celtics try to advance to face the Golden State Warriors The NBA Finals. Eric Moody.

Best bet: Celtics -8.5.

The Heat are currently dealing with a number of injuries and are in serious trouble. The Celtics performed well in closeout games in this postseason. They beat the Nets in Brooklyn, and won two consecutive games against the Bucks to reach the Eastern Conference finals. Boston should wrap up the series at home. Moody

Moody's opinion is my agreement. The Celtics appear poised to win tonight's series at home. For the majority of the series, they have been the dominant team. Except for Game 3 and Game 1, the Celtics have outscored Miami by 87 percent. The Celtics' home court advantage and Miami's injuries make it seem like Boston should win comfortably. — Andre Snellings

Your best option: Jaylen Brown Over 33.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds. Jayson Tatum Brown is currently dealing with a shoulder injury. This puts Brown in an important position to perform tonight. Brown has been averaging 25 PPG, 2.0 APG and 7.6 RPG during the Eastern Conference finals. Brown (26.5%) is the second-highest usage of the team, behind Tatum (30%) in this postseason. He should continue to maximize his opportunities on the court. Moody

Jayson Tatum is the best bet over 39.5 points + assists and rebounds. In six of his nine most recent games, Tatum has exceeded 39.5 PAR. He has a poor jumper and drives hard to get to the rim, generating 16 free throws. With Marcus Smart Tatum, who was ill in Game 5, created offense for his teammates when he dished out nine assists. Tonight should be no different. He has been there in the most important moments of this postseason. — Snellings

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