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Kyle SoppeESPN
It’s impossible to ignore the run for the underdogs. The trend, the season, and everything seem to be pointing away from the favorite. “Seems”. “Seems”
This season’s trend is even more intriguing when you consider the latest trends in this field. In 2018, teams that were favored less than a field goals won tickets 44.1% of time, while those favored more than a goal received tickets 47.4% of time. While favorites have performed worse than in the previous four seasons in ATS, they were more successful in close games. This is noteworthy as we approach Week 8, which has many games that open in the same game zone. Failing to face favorites has proven profitable this season. But be aware if you intend on doing it for week one.
Thu 8:15PM
Ravens ATS: 2-4-1
O/U: 2-5
What we know so far about the Ravens The total has been reached in seven of Baltimore’s ten road games. In seven of those 10, the final total was at least 11 more than the projected total.
Buccaneers ATS: 2-5
O/U: 1-6
What we know so far about the Buccaneers The Bucs are 0-3 ATS home this season. This comes on the heels of having covered six of their last seven home games last season.
Sun 9:30AM
Broncos ATS: 2-5
O/U: 1-6
What we know about Broncos Since 2020’s beginning, Russell Wilson Led teams average 7-12 ATS, and 12-7 to the unders when they play on the road.
Jaguars 2-5
O/U: 4-3
What we know so far about Jaguars Although the Jags started off as a fantastic story (61.5 points more than the spread in Weeks 2 and 3), they have now failed to cover 4 straight games, scoring less than 21 points in 3 of them.
Sun 1:00PM
Panthers: 2-5
O/U: 2-5
What we know about the Panthers Although you knew this, the Panthers have a record of 3-8 ATS in road games since the start last season. You may not know that six of the first six games were below the total, while five of the last five went over.
Falcons: 6-1
O/U: 4-3
What we know about Falcons: After failing to cover their last five home games last year, the Dirty Birds have now covered all three of their home games.
Bears: 3-3-1
O/U: 3-4
We know this about the Bears Five of Chicago’s past seven road games have exceeded the total.
Cowboys and the ATS 5-2
O/U: 2-5
We know this about the Cowboys In the past four instances when the game went under the projection, each time the spread was covered by the Cowboys.
Cardinals ATS: 4-3
O/U: 2-4-1
What we know about Cardinals: Thanks to two defensive touchdowns, the Cards game was won on Thursday night. It was their first win since Week 1. This week they are trying to find consecutive overs within the same season for Weeks 13-14.
Vikings: 2-4
O/U: 3-3
What we know so far about the Vikings The Vikings are back from their bye, and have won four straight. But don’t tell the bettors, they’ve only covered one of those games.
Dolphins: 3-4
O/U: 2-5
What we know about Dolphins: Four consecutive ATS losses for The ‘Fins, with four of their previous five going below the toal.
Lions of the ATS 3-3
O/U: 4-2
What we know so far about the Lions Three straight covers and four straight wins for the Lions opened the season, but since then it’s been three consecutive ATS losses as well as two straight unders.
Patriots 3-3-1
O/U: 4-3
What we know about Patriots: This will be the fifth consecutive time that the Pats take a post-game break.Tom Brady era, they have covered three of the first four and three of the fourth.
Jets: 5-2
O/U: 3-4
We know a lot about jets Would you consider buying the Jets? They are currently 3-7 ATS, and the unders are 7-3 against New York’s 10 past home divisional games.
Steelers ATS 3-3-1
O/U: 2-5
We know this about the Steelers The Steelers have been able to cover consecutive games. These are their first covers since beating Week 1’s Bengals 23-20.
Eagles: 4-2
O/U: 3-3
What we know so far about the Eagles Philadelphians may not love Santa Claus, but they do love points. Seven of their eight home games this season have exceeded the total.
Raiders of the ATS: 3-3
O/U: 4-1-1
We know a lot about Raiders In the past 13 months, Raiders are 1-4 against the spread on the road when the total is below the total and 3-2 when it is over.
Saints: 2-5
O/U: 5-2
What we know so far about the Saints Back-to-back-to-back-to-back overs for the Saints, all of which went over the projected total by at least 11 points.
Sun 4:05PM
Titans ATS: 4-2
O/U: 2-4
What we know about Titans: In their nine previous divisional road games, the Titans are 7-2 against the spread and have won seven of those overs.
Texans ATS: 3-2-1
O/U: 3-3
What we know about the Texans Believe it or not, the Texans have a 4-1 ATS record in their divisional home games. The average cover margin for those four games is 9.5 points.
Sun 4:25PM
Giants ATS 6-1
O/U: 2-5
What we know about Giants It’s amazing what a year can do for you. The Giants didn’t cover their four remaining games in 2021, which was the end of the season. This season? When unders win, it’s a perfect 5
Seahawks at the ATS: 4-3
O/U: 4-3
What we know about Seahawks The ‘Hawks have been 6-2 at home ATS the last eight times that tickets have been sold. Backing the home team is a good option if you feel this one is too ugly.
49ers ATS: 3-4
O/U: 2-5
We know this about the 49ers. The 49ers have successfully covered five of their last five games against the Rams division rival, with under tickets being successful in four of those.
Rams: 2-4
O/U: 1-5
We know this about the Rams The Rams covered Week 6, before they went on their byes last week. For the first time since Christmas, they are looking for consecutive regular season coverages.
Commanders ATS: 3-4
O/U: 3-4
We know a lot about Commanders The spread was within nine points of Washington’s final score in 12 of its 15 previous games (each of those three were within a touchdown).
Colts: 3-4
O/U: 1-6
What we know so far about the Colts Indy is your favorite cover artist. Indy’s six past covers have featured under tickets.
Sun 8:20PM
Packers 2-5
O/U: 3-4
What we know so far about the Packers The Packers are now 55 points behind as projected by the closing lines. This is their worst record in seven games since 1997.
Bills ATS: 4-1-1
O/U: 1-5
What we know about Bills No one is shy about estimating points in Buffalo games. Maybe that’s what’s wrong. Week 2 was not the last time the Bills reached the total. And even then, it wasn’t by more than one point.
Mon 8:15PM
Bengals ATS: 5-2
O/U: 2-5
The Bengals: What do we know? The two teams met in Week 18, last season. It was a game that didn’t matter and saw starters benched. Over tickets were sold in eight of those meetings.
Browns: 3-4
O/U: 5-2
We know this about the Browns The total has been surpassed by at least eight points in four consecutive Cleveland home games. If you like trends, this is the perfect time to capitalize on the Bengals trend.