Tips and picks for Tuesday in fantasy basketball and NBA betting

ESPN’s NBA betting tips cheatsheet and fantasy basketball predictions are the perfect place to start your betting. It also contains our top data and intel to help you make smart wagering and fantasy decisions. Caesars Sportsbook has the October 18 NBA game odds. Fantasy advice is provided based on ESPN 10-team leagues.

Spread betting is what in basketball?

Here’s how betting basketball works. The spread is an estimate of the margin of victory. You can place a bet on either the favorite or the underdog, minus the points and plus the number.

To win the bet, you must cover the spread. If you were to bet on the Warriors, they would have to win by at least 6 points if they win. Or the Lakers need to win by at least 6 points if the Lakers are underdogs.

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge


Here’s what you need to know about Tuesday’s NBA slate

By Jim McCormick, Kyle Soppe

Max Discount

Philadelphia’s Preseason has three games. Tyrese Maxey Averaged 40.2 points per hour for the 76ers in approximately 18 minutes per game. This is second in scoring rate (only behind). Giannis Antetokounmpo For players who played at most three games in the preseason and averaged 15 mins per game since 2010, 2019 will be awarded. This seems to be a good deal. Maxey’s potential leap has not been fully realized by DFS markets, so he’s currently priced at $5,000 on DraftKings.

If you’re looking for Philly’s roster for redraft values, here are some suggestions. De’Anthony Melton potential to provide unheard of 3-and-D rate. Melton (6.7% rostered) ranked in the 96th and 97th percentiles in steals among guards.

Boston’s Backcourt

Perhaps lost in the shuffle during the Celtics’ offseason, was the wise acquisition of guard Malcolm Brogdon. While Boston was dominant down the stretch of last season, offensive problems in the half court surfaced during a long playoff run. Brogdon, who was ranked in 81% ESPN leagues, could play a significant role in the Boston offense’s debut. He also serves as a valuable pivot for Maxey in daily fantasy competitions at almost the same price.

Replacing Time Lord

Boston cannot replace Boston’s impact. Robert Williams III He provides both on the ball and his crucial rim protection. Is it possible that the fantasy market is being undervalued with Williams out of action for several months because of a knee injury? Grant Williams (2%)? A Philly roster that is flush with size Joel Embiid Williams, who is versatile and can play at both the forward spots and the back spot, could play a major role for the Celtics this Tuesday.

Being wise

It is not often that a current champion has the opportunity to see if a former top lottery pick can be integrated into the rotation. But such is the case with James Wiseman (38%). The impressive preseason tape suggests that Wiseman (38%), could finally make it in the Golden State rotation, but we still can expect a limited role against the Lakers for the young pivot. It will be interesting for us to see which of these young pivots are selected. Jonathan Kuminga (15.5%), Moses Moody Fantasy managers can get help from Wiseman (0.5%)

Darvin’s debut

Tuesday’s game will provide us with our first look at Darvin Ham’s new Lakers roster and scheme. With Russell Westbrook While recovering from a hamstring injury and facing a shift on the bench, it will be fascinating to see how this patchworked Los Angeles backcourt unfolds.

We are experts in this field LeBron James And Anthony Davis They are worth keeping in mind for both redraft or DFS lineups. But what else can this Lakers rotation do?


Game of the Night

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
10:00 p.m ET, Chase Center, San Francisco


Line:
Money line Warriors (+260), Lakers (+210)
Total: 227 points
BPI Projected Total: 216.1 points
BPI Win% Warriors (67.0%)

Note: BPI numbers account for players who are ruled-out, but assumes that questionable gamers will play

Notable: The Warriors were the first to leave the gate last year, cashing their tickets with 8-3-1 ATS in their 12th season.

Exclusion: Andre Iguodala (conditioning), Troy Brown Jr. (back)
Questionable: Russell Westbrook (hamstring), Dennis Schroder (thumb)

Lakers +6.5 are the best bet. Another team that is coming off a disappointing season, the Lakers, and an offseason to reckon with, are the Warriors. However, they have many external events that could draw their attention. They will hold their championship ceremony Tuesday. The Lakers just finished a weekend in which several major contract extensions were granted (but not all). We’re still not far from the Draymond/Poole feud that marred the conclusion of the offseason before the extensions. The Lakers’ disappointment last season was partly due to their inability to keep their best players healthy. LeBron James And Anthony Davis They are healthy and ready to play. The Lakers also have enough size to compete with the Warriors in the paint. BPI says that the Warriors should be preferred by 4.9 points so the Lakers get 6.5 points. — Snellings

Best bet is -6.5 Golden State was ranked among the top three in effective field goal percentage, opponent effective field goals percentage, last season. Most of the Warriors’ key players will be returning to the team this year. Golden State was 39-19-2 at home against the spread last season, and should cover against a Lakers team that has questions about their new rotation. Moody


The rest of the slate must be broken down

Philadelphia 76ers At Boston Celtics
7:30 p.m ET, TD Garden, Boston

Line: Celtics (-2)
Money line 76ers (+115, Celtics -135)
Total: 214.5 Points
BPI Projected Total: 203.9 points
BPI Win% Celtics (50.6%)

Exclusion: Robert Williams III (knee), Danilo Gallinari (knee)
Questionable: Marcus Smart (groin)

Notable: Philadelphia Unders won 7-2 in its first nine games of last season. However, by the end, over tickets were regularly cashing (9-3 to complete the regular season).

Best bet is 76ers +2.5 The 76ers are on a mission, I believe. They are better than how their season ended with both the 76ers and the 76ers. Joel Embiid And James Harden They were physically slower than they should have been and there was plenty of criticism in the offseason. This is evident in their preseason play, which was the only Eastern Conference team that went undefeated. The games may be meaningless but it does speak to the energy and focus the 76ers bring this season. BPI states that it is a toss-up match where both teams will win roughly half of the time. The Celtics are the 0.1 point favorites according to BPI. If it is that close, I’ll accept the points. — Snellings

Below 214.5 While it is difficult to predict how many minutes stars are going to play, or how newcomers will perform during the first few NBA games of the season, defense is almost always ahead of offense. Five of six games between the 76ers and Celtics were lost, while the Celtics had their third-best defensive rating. These trends are expected to continue in this season’s opener. Moody


Analytics Edge

BPI’s highest-promised totals

  1. Golden State Warriors: 110.5 points

  2. Los Angeles Lakers: 105.6

BPI’s lowest-promised totals

  1. Boston Celtics: 102 points

  2. Philadelphia 76ers: 101.9

BPI top win probability (straight up).

  1. Golden State Warriors: 67%

  2. Boston Celtics: 50.6%

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