Ville HussoIt was his projections in my fantasy points tracker that gave me the inspiration for the reprojecting of fantasy goaltenders this week. He was ranked 15th in fantasy points tracker for remaining points projected. But, my calculations are based on current and projected crease share. Yes, projected would be better but that requires a manual eye. The spreadsheet contains all NHL stats twice weekly.
But I do know, especially after Thursday’s most recent. Jordan BinningtonHusso is likely to be leaned more than his current 31.6% crease share for this season. Although I briefly considered using a new formula to project the go-forward crease share, based on the season’s progress, too many injuries and other factors involving goaltenders led to me doing new manual projections the same way as I did in the offseason.
To see how this might affect their fantasy projections, I did it for Husso as well as all the other goaltenders.
The formula for projections is not just about crease share. Another part of the formula for projections is how they use their fantasy points per 60 minutes (FPP60). Husso, and others, probably have an elevated FPP60, as they don’t have enough time to make those unpredictable rough outings that can impact stats.
Without further delay, here is the complete list of fantasy points projected and their current FPP60.
Ville Husso, G, St. Louis Blues: 129.32 remained points, 5.30 FPP60
Jacob Markstrom, G, Calgary Flames: 126.49, 4.16
Igor Shesterkin, G, New York Rangers: 124.29, 5.55
Ilya Sorokin, G, New York Islanders: 118.39, 3.76
Frederik Andersen, G, Carolina Hurricanes: 115.53, 4.73
Juuse Saros, G, Nashville Predators: 109.14, 3.90
Tristan Jarry, G, Pittsburgh Penguins: 101.01, 3.96
Andrei Vasilevskiy, G, Tampa Bay Lightning: 99.84, 3.80
Jack Campbell, G, Toronto Maple Leafs: 99.79, 3.98
Sergei Bobrovsky, G, Florida Panthers: 90.61, 3.92
Pavel Francouz, G, Colorado Avalanche: 86.21, 5.82
Cam Talbot, G, Minnesota Wild: 84.01, 3.18
Darcy Kuemper, G, Colorado Avalanche: 79.12, 3.56
John Gibson, G, Anaheim Ducks: 78.18, 3.07
Connor Hellebuyck, G, Winnipeg Jets: 73.75, 2.36
Thatcher Demko, G, Vancouver Canucks: 72.57, 2.85
Matt Murray, G, Ottawa Senators: 62.95, 2.45
Jake Oettinger, G, Dallas Stars: 56.59, 2.98
Robin Lehner, G, Vegas Golden Knights: 53.48, 2.25
Marc-Andre Fleury, G, Chicago Blackhawks: 53.12, 2.30
This was a fast-paced affair, as you can see. This is what happens if Husso has a 66 per cent crease share. However, I doubt we can say that his FPP60 would be as impressive if he played two-thirds of the Blues games. He’s still just outside the top 10, ahead of Bobrovsky, but behind Campbell.
A few other notes in case you don’t agree with my projections: Shesterkin received 64 percent of the remainingcrease share because the Rangers seem to want him to rest a lot. However, he could easily play more than that and easily top the list. While Sorokin is at 75% might seem a little too optimistic, the results show that this is what the Isles should play him. Francouz’s FPP60 wouldn’t stand up to more play time. I think Husso is right. But it’s closer than you think. Murray’s inclusion in this list is based upon a 66 per cent crease share going forward. He might not get it. Oettinger (50% crease share projection), and Murray are both great spot-start candidates. … Fleury is the biggest wildcard here. A trade to a winning contender will likely increase Fleury’s 66 percent crease share projection and probably also boost his FPP60. Fleury is just in the top 10, with a trade for a winning contender.
Fantasy Forecaster: Feb. 14, 20
There were quite a few NHL games in a week that was not originally scheduled. We have some very serious scheduling issues as the league makes up for lost time due to COVID. The league has a great schedule. Edmonton OilersYou have a week of five games on tap. On the other hand, you can play the Seattle Kraken, New Jersey Devils Arizona CoyotesYou can only play one time.
Notes for the team
Edmonton Oilers If fantasy hockey players were given the option to choose the week when Dave Tippett would be fired, this would probably have been the week. There is a good chance that a new coach can spark the offense, and maybe bring fantasy production back to some of the players who have been struggling. Who is the best candidate for the job? The answer isn’t too flashy, since it’s arguably the same players that it would be without a coaching change. Evander KaneSome leagues offer 35 percent of the available seats. Evan Bouchard(48%), was working hard to take over the defense’s power play. We should pay attention to next week’s performance of Jay Woodcroft, his new coach. We are aware Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavidKane Ryan Nugent-HopkinsThese locks are locked, but there is flexibility for the last two wingsers and the last member of the powerplay. Which combination does Woodcroft use? Jesse Puljujarvi, Kailer Yamamoto Zach Hyman? Do you think he might consider calling up the AHL’s Bakersfield Condors player pool? Seth GriffithOder Cooper Marody? What about the blue line? It is it? Tyson Barrie, Darnell NurseBouchard, or Bouchard, as the power play quarterback? This showcase will feature five games. Keep an eye out for any unusual developments.
Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. LouisThe team was fairly balanced in his coaching debut. He combined the best offensive forwards to power the power play (Cole Caufield, Nick Suzuki, Mike Hoffman Tyler Toffoli), but sprinkled them on three different lines at even strength — it was the other line with none of them (Jake Evans, Josh Anderson and Rem Pitlick() who played the most shifts We don’t have any data to help us guess what St. Louis will do. He was last coaching peewee hockey. However, he seems like the right person for the job. We’ll see if he can make the Canadiens great again this week since we only have to watch them play twice. However, I like the idea of checking Suzuki’s availability within shallow leagues and Caufield’s availability within deeper leagues.
Calgary Flames The Flames are expected to win their three games against the Blue Jackets Ducks and Kraken next week. Chris Tanev is available for the week. He’s averaged 2.2 fantasy point per game over the past month. Blake ColemanShould be included in lineups as well.
Minnesota Wild: Also, the Wild have a positive offensive forecast for a week of four games on the forecaster. This could be your last chance at grab Matt BoldyWith whom he continues to make an impressive run Kevin FialaMany thanks to a part on the power-play. I would even suggest that you swap out a player if you’re in a shallow league. Ryan HartmanBoldy is a go-forward player. Hartman plays on the top-line, but he isn’t on the top power-play unit as of late. But Boldy has.
Notes for players
Dylan StromeChicago Blackhawks, C/W It seems like a long time ago that Strome had a breakout 2018-19. We thought we had a fantasy mainstay. Patrick Kane Alex DeBrincat. Strome has been playing some his best hockey in the past month, seemingly out of nowhere. The power play has been a big part of Strome’s production with DeBrincat and Kane, although he hasn’t been playing as much at even strength with either one. Strome has mostly been with Kane and the pair have had most of their success together. Brandon Hagelas the third member.
Brayden Schenn, C, St. Louis Blues Schenn is finally showing signs of life after an extremely slow start to this season. Schenn, despite his fantasy name value, was not available in a third of ESPN leagues due to his poor play before January.