NFL Week 7 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, fantasy suggestions

The Week 7 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we’ve you coated with what it is advisable know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the most important keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info offers a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s greatest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody palms out useful fantasy football intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us remaining rating picks for each sport. Every little thing you wish to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL football.

Let’s get into the complete Week 7 slate, together with the surging Lions enjoying in Baltimore and a Dolphins-Eagles showdown on Sunday evening. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the 49ers and the Vikings on ESPN. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Soar to a matchup:
DET-BAL | CLE-IND | BUF-NE
WSH-NYG | ATL-TB | LV-CHI
PIT-LAR | ARI-SEA | GB-DEN
LAC-KC | MIA-PHI | SF-MIN

Thursday: JAX 31, NO 24
Bye: CIN, DAL, TEN, NYJ, CAR, HOU

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: BAL -3 (43)

Storyline to observe: In one of many marquee matchups of the week, Lions QB Jared Goff has the NFL’s third-best QBR (81.5) when not pressured, throwing 9 landing passes and two interceptions. The Ravens are tied for the league lead with 24 sacks, getting a sack from an NFL-high 11 gamers. — Jamison Hensley

Daring prediction: Lions WR Jameson Williams will rating his second 35-plus-yard landing reception, and the Lions will begin 6-1 for the primary time since 1956. Williams brings a special dimension to the already high-powered Detroit offense and scored a 45-yard TD at Tampa Bay final week in his second sport again after serving a four-game suspension for violating the NFL’s playing coverage. “I might say my confidence was already out the roof as a result of that is how I take into consideration myself. I believe I am the most effective,” Williams stated of his TD catch. “In order a lift, it possibly despatched me from 100 to 150.” — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Lamar Jackson is 15-1 in his profession in opposition to NFC opponents (7-0 at house), with the one loss coming final season on the Giants. His .938 win proportion vs. the NFC is the most effective by any QB in opposition to the opposing convention because the 1970 merger (min. 5 begins).

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Is Mark Andrews in line for fantasy sport vs. Lions?

Eric Karabell presents some numbers on Mark Andrews’ good fantasy season forward of a matchup vs. the Lions.

Matchup X issue: Ravens proper deal with Morgan Moses. He’ll be charged with stopping Lions defensive finish Aidan Hutchinson on Sunday. If he can try this, the duty for Jackson and Baltimore’s offense will get a heck of loads simpler. Even with Hutchinson, the Lions rank thirty first in move rush win fee, partly as a result of Hutchinson tends to win later within the rush. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Ravens

What to know for fantasy: The Ravens’ protection has given up the seventh-fewest fantasy factors per sport to large receivers. As well as, Baltimore’s protection has allowed solely 5.8 yards per reception, a league low, which may place Lions tight finish Sam LaPorta and operating again Jahmyr Gibbs for a ton of catches. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Lions are 7-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) of their previous eight street video games. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 24, Lions 23
Walder’s choose: Ravens 27, Lions 24
FPI prediction: BAL, 53.9% (by a mean of 1.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Lions have bigger goals after 5-1 startJackson, Ravens need to fix red zone problemsRB Montgomery likely out ‘for a little bit’


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CLE -3 (41)

Storyline to observe: Each of Cleveland’s attainable beginning QBs are very acquainted to the Colts. Deshaun Watson (whose standing is questionable because of a shoulder injury) performed six video games in opposition to Indy whereas with AFC South rival Houston, throwing eight landing passes and speeding for 2 extra scores whereas finishing 70% of his makes an attempt. His backup, PJ Walker, entered the league with Indianapolis in 2017 and spent components of three seasons bouncing between the Colts’ observe squad and lively roster earlier than shifting on in 2019. — Stephen Holder

Daring prediction: The Browns’ protection will outscore the Colts’ offense in one other dominant efficiency. Cleveland is high 5 defensively in virtually each class however turnovers. That modifications in Indy, because the Browns will drive the Colts into a number of miscues. — Jake Trotter

Stat to know: The Browns have allowed 1,002 yards this season, the third fewest by way of a workforce’s first 5 video games because the 1970 AFL-NFL merger.

Matchup X issue: Colts operating backs Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss. Quarterback Gardner Minshew just isn’t going to have the ability to move the ball on the Browns, plain and easy. This sport will come right down to the Colts’ protection and if the Indianapolis operating sport can generate sufficient factors on the bottom. — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Colts

What to know for fantasy: There are 11 groups this season which have allowed greater than 1,000 yards to receivers. The Colts are considered one of them. Browns receiver Amari Cooper has had eight or extra targets and scored 15 or extra fantasy factors in three of his previous 4 video games, and will proceed to be productive whether or not Watson or Walker is underneath heart. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Browns are favored in a street sport for the second time this season, matching their whole from every of the previous two seasons. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Browns 28, Colts 14
Walder’s choose: Browns 23, Colts 10
FPI prediction: CLE, 60% (by a mean of three.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Watson (shoulder injury) returns to practice, throwsHow Luck’s injury influenced Richardson‘s treatmentOral history of how the Browns shocked the 5-0 49ers


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BUF -8.5 (40)

Storyline to observe: The Payments’ 13 takeaways are tied for the second most within the NFL, whereas the Patriots’ 11 giveaways are tied for the third most. “Ball safety is a high precedence for us this week,” New England coach Invoice Belichick stated. The Patriots have simply three takeaways on the season, as their minus-8 turnover differential is tied for final within the NFL. The Payments are tied for tenth with a plus-4 turnover differential. — Mike Reiss

Daring prediction: The Payments’ protection will maintain the Patriots to seven factors or fewer and seize a fifth straight win over the Patriots. New England is averaging 12 factors scored per sport (second fewest) and ranks final in factors per drive (1.0), whereas the Payments have held opponents to 14.8 factors per sport (third fewest). Additionally, the Payments’ earlier 4 wins over New England have every been by double digits. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: Payments quarterback Josh Allen has made a behavior of tearing up the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. In 5 profession street begins at New England, Allen has thrown 12 landing passes and two interceptions, and posted an 83 Whole QBR. That is the third-highest street QBR by any QB in opposition to a single opponent since 2006 (when the metric started).

Matchup X issue: Patriots cornerbacks Jonathan Jones and J.C. Jackson. New England’s solely prayer is to decelerate the Buffalo passing assault and maintain this a low-scoring sport. The Giants confirmed final week it may be achieved, however it is going to take a robust efficiency from the Patriots’ secondary. — Walder

Accidents: Bills | Patriots

What to know for fantasy: The one workforce that enables the next speeding yards per carry than the Payments (5.4) is the Broncos (5.6). With the Patriots’ offensive line ranked eighth in run block win fee and getting more healthy, New England’s operating sport may have success in opposition to Buffalo. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: New England has didn’t cowl in 9 straight video games as an underdog, tied for the second-longest ATS dropping streak as an underdog within the Tremendous Bowl period. The Rams went 11 consecutive video games as an underdog with out protecting spanning the 1995-96 seasons. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Payments 31, Patriots 17
Walder’s choose: Payments 27, Patriots 13
FPI prediction: BUF, 82.3% (by a mean of 12.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Allen has ‘no concern’ over shoulder injury1-5 Patriots’ morale being tested, but players are focused on improvingCould Bills spreading the ball more lead to a more consistent offense?


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: WSH -2.5 (37.5)

Storyline to observe: The Commanders are the one NFC East workforce the Giants have dealt with in recent times. In reality, New York’s solely division win (and tie) final season got here in opposition to Washington. Over the previous five-plus seasons, the Giants are 9-22-1 in opposition to the NFC East, together with the postseason. Six of these 9 wins have come in opposition to Washington. — Jordan Raanan

Daring prediction: A Commanders receiver will surpass 100 yards for the primary time this season. Terry McLaurin has topped 100 yards 3 times in seven profession video games vs. New York, together with as soon as final season. Jahan Dotson‘s lone 100-yard sport in his two-year profession occurred in opposition to the Giants in Week 15 final season. The Giants rank final in yards after the catch gained by opposing receivers and are twentieth in yards gained per catch. — John Keim

Stat to know: The Giants have gone three straight video games with out an offensive landing, their longest streak since 1976 (4 straight). No workforce has gone 4 straight video games with out an offensive landing because the 2008 Browns.

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Why the over might be a protected wager for Commanders-Giants

Tyler Fulghum is anticipating the Commanders and Giants to place loads of factors on the scoreboard of their NFC East showdown in Week 7.

Matchup X issue: Commanders edge rusher Montez Sweat. I used to be stunned to see Sweat has simply an 8% move rush win fee at edge, which ranks fiftieth out of 55 qualifiers. He has matchup in opposition to Giants deal with Evan Neal and will be capable of disrupt the passing sport. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Giants

What to know for fantasy: The Giants’ protection permits the sixth-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, which bodes effectively for Brian Robinson Jr. on Sunday. In each sport this season by which he has had 12 or extra touches, Robinson has scored 13 or extra fantasy factors. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: In every of the previous six matchups between the Commanders and Giants in New York, the underneath has hit. Plus, the underneath has hit in 17 of the previous 20 conferences between these two groups when the Giants have hosted. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Commanders 24, Giants 20
Walder’s choose: Giants 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: WSH, 61.4% (by a mean of 4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Commanders look to build on big plays that ended losing streakPugh goes from ‘couch’ to Giants’ active roster in two weeks


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: TB -2.5 (37)

Storyline to observe: Each groups are coming off losses, with Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder throwing three interceptions in opposition to the Commanders final week and the Bucs failing to drive a turnover on protection or rating a landing on offense for the primary time this season in opposition to the Lions. However after the Saints’ loss Thursday, the winner of this NFC South matchup will finish Week 7 atop the division. — Jenna Laine

Daring prediction: Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans may have greater than 75 yards and a rating. Evans has 10 touchdowns in 16 video games in opposition to Atlanta in his profession, and he’ll add one other to his whole Sunday after scoring in just one sport (albeit two touchdowns) over the previous six occasions he has performed in opposition to the Falcons. — Michael Rothstein

Stat to know: The Buccaneers’ plus-6 turnover margin is tied for third finest within the NFL this season, whereas the Falcons’ minus-6 turnover margin is tied for fifth worst (minus-8 over the previous three video games).

Matchup X issue: Falcons security Jessie Bates III. With three interceptions and two pressured fumbles, Bates has been an affect addition for Atlanta’s protection. The Bucs’ passing sport is significantly better than their floor sport, so stopping Tampa Bay’s aerial assault must be the Falcons’ defensive focus. — Walder

Accidents: Falcons | Buccaneers

What to know for fantasy: The Buccaneers rank second within the league with a 41.0% blitz fee. Ridder struggles underneath stress, and the Falcons’ offensive line ranks twenty fourth in move block win fee. This season, Ridder’s completion proportion is just 52%, and his passer score drops to 67.3 when underneath stress. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Falcons have didn’t cowl in 5 straight video games, their longest streak since 2019. The final time they didn’t cowl in six consecutive video games was 2015 (9 straight). It is usually the longest lively streak with out protecting amongst all groups. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Buccaneers 24, Falcons 17
Walder’s choose: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 19
FPI prediction: TB, 52.6% (by a mean of 1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: What’s wrong with the Falcons’ run game?Mayfield critical of Buccaneers’ offense, takes blame


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LV -2.5 (37.5)

Storyline to observe: Each groups’ beginning quarterbacks are coping with accidents. Bears quarterback Justin Fields (thumb) was classified as doubtful in opposition to the Raiders on Monday and has not practiced this week. Neither has the Raiders’ Jimmy Garoppolo, who has a again harm that has stored him off form and will keep him sidelined in Week 7. Undrafted rookie Tyson Bagent may get the beginning for the Bears. For Vegas, it is both rookie Aidan O’Connell or veteran Brian Hoyer. — Courtney Cronin

Daring prediction: Rookie edge rusher Tyree Wilson will choose up his first profession sack. True, Wilson has but to document a QB hit and has solely six pressures to go along with a move rush win fee of 5.6%, however the Bears have already given up 25 sacks, third most within the NFL. And Chicago will possible be beginning an undrafted rookie QB who would possibly maintain the ball a bit longer than he ought to. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: Bagent would be the first quarterback from a Division II faculty to start out an NFL sport since Jon Kitna and Todd Bouman each did so in 2010.

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Ought to Davante Adams get the ball extra?

Damien Woody and Dan Orlovsky talk about whether or not Davante Adams needs to be extra of a focus within the Raiders’ offense.

Matchup X issue: Raiders operating again Josh Jacobs and the Las Vegas operating sport. This unit ranks final in EPA per designed carry, and Jacobs has recorded minus-52 rush yards over expectation, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. Simply a mean speeding sport ought to assist beat the Bears. — Walder

Accidents: Raiders | Bears

What to know for fantasy: The Bears have allowed 7.4 yards per passing play. You must have Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers in your fantasy lineup regardless who’s enjoying quarterback for the Raiders. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Bears are 5-1 with overs this season, the most effective of any workforce. On the flip aspect, the Raiders are 5-1 with unders, tied for second finest within the NFL, trailing solely the Saints. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Raiders 27, Bears 13
Walder’s choose: Bears 20, Raiders 17
FPI prediction: CHI, 55.7% (by a mean of two factors)

Matchup must-reads: Adams: My purpose on Raiders is to influence gameBears’ Bagent to complete journey from D-II QB to NFL starter


4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LAR -3 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: The Steelers are averaging 15.8 factors per sport this season, which ranks thirtieth within the NFL and is their second-lowest mark by way of 5 video games underneath Mike Tomlin. Have they got an opportunity to proper the ship in Los Angeles? The younger Rams protection has proven promise, together with a second-half shutout in opposition to the Cardinals final week, however ranks 18th within the NFL in DVOA. — Sarah Barshop

Daring prediction: Steelers security Minkah Fitzpatrick will get his first interception of the season. Down their high two operating backs, the Rams will rely much more on their prolific passing offense, one which ranks third within the league with 1,677 passing yards and is much more explosive with the return of receiver Cooper Kupp to enrich rookie breakout Puka Nacua. Fitzpatrick hasn’t been in place to make many performs on the ball this season, however Steelers defensive coordinator Teryl Austin credited the “legislation of averages” in explaining Fitzpatrick’s lack of splash performs. — Brooke Pryor

Stat to know: The Steelers’ offensive issues go effectively past gaining yards, as Pittsburgh’s 29% crimson zone landing proportion this season is its worst by way of 5 video games since 2001 (20%).

Matchup X issue: Rams proper deal with Rob Havenstein. One of the best items on this sport are the Rams’ passing assault and the Steelers’ move protection. The quickest method for Pittsburgh to win that battle is for Steelers edge rusher T.J. Watt to get to Rams QB Matthew Stafford and Havenstein — who ranks solely forty fourth out of 69 tackles in move block win fee (85%) — would be the one charged with stopping Watt. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Rams

What to know for fantasy: The Rams rank fourth in yards per completion (11.2) and second in passing first downs per sport (13.7). Receivers Kupp and Nacua stay should begins. The Steelers’ protection provides up the fourth-most fantasy factors per sport to large receivers. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Tomlin is 44-40 outright in his head-coaching profession as an underdog. He’s the one head coach within the Tremendous Bowl period to have a successful document as an underdog amongst coaches who’ve been an underdog in additional than 50 video games. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Rams 28, Steelers 20
Walder’s choose: Rams 30, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: LAR, 58.3% (by a mean of two.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: What do we know about Pickett after 17 starts as a Steeler?McVay says his future son ‘knows better’ than to be born on game dayRB Williams expected to miss multiple games


4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SEA -7 (44.5)

Storyline to observe: The Cardinals on Wednesday designated quarterback Kyler Murray to return from the physically unable to perform list, permitting the quarterback to observe for the primary time since he tore an ACL in December. Murray will not be able to play Sunday, so Joshua Dobbs will stay Arizona’s starter. He’ll face a resurgent Seattle protection that held Joe Burrow and the Bengals to solely 185 passing yards in Week 6 and is permitting a league-best 3.2 yards per carry. — Brady Henderson

Daring prediction: Dobbs will throw for 300 yards and lead the Cardinals with 100 speeding yards. With Dobbs’ days as a starter winding down, he’ll present he is able to being a starter for an additional workforce. Seattle has given up a mean of 257.6 passing yards per sport this season. Although the Seahawks have improved lately on protection, they did surrender greater than 300 yards passing to their first three opponents. Arizona would be the fourth to go 300-plus on Seattle. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: Geno Smith‘s 75% competitors proportion on play-action because the begin of 2022 is second finest within the NFL, and his 11 passing touchdowns off play-action rank seventh within the NFL over that span. The Cardinals’ protection has allowed a 72% competitors proportion off play motion since 2022 (second worst within the NFL).

Matchup X issue: Cardinals cornerback Marco Wilson. He has allowed 2.3 yards per protection snap this season, fifth most amongst cornerbacks with at the least 100 protection snaps, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. Arizona wants extra from him if it is going to cling with Seattle. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Seahawks

What to know for fantasy: It’s a tie between the Seahawks’ and Chargers’ defenses for essentially the most fantasy factors allowed to large receivers this yr, which bodes effectively for Arizona receiver Marquise Brown. Brown caught solely 4 of 11 targets in Week 6 in opposition to the Rams and completed with 7.4 fantasy factors, however he averaged greater than 16 factors in his earlier 4 video games. Brown and fellow receiver Michael Wilson ought to have success Sunday. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Cardinals are an underdog for the fifteenth straight sport, the longest lively streak within the NFL. It is usually the longest streak for the Cardinals since they have been an underdog in 31 consecutive video games spanning 2002-04. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Seahawks 24, Cardinals 21
Walder’s choose: Seahawks 34, Cardinals 20
FPI prediction: SEA, 79.6% (by a mean of 11.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals’ Murray, Baker back at practiceSeahawks’ Metcalf on penalties: ‘Not going to change who I am’‘It’s very frustrating’: Red zone woes holding Cardinals back


4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: GB -1 (45)

Storyline to observe: Broncos coach Sean Payton has stated a top quality run sport is within the workforce’s “DNA,” however he has additionally stated he must be extra affected person and really name video games that method. And that is one thing to regulate, given the occasional leakiness of the Packers’ run protection. The Broncos’ operating backs had simply 19 and 15 carries in losses to the Chiefs and Jets, respectively, over the previous two video games, regardless of having the No. 3 run block win fee within the NFL (74.2%). The Packers are twenty eighth within the league in speeding yards per sport and have allowed greater than 200 yards on the bottom twice already this season. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: The Packers will discover the tip zone on their first possession of the sport, ending a three-game streak of being held to a few factors or fewer within the first half. No Packers workforce has been held to a few or fewer first-half factors in 4 straight video games since December 1990, and no NFL workforce has achieved that since 2021. Coach Matt LaFleur had a bye week to give you one thing totally different for his opening script, and bear in mind, it is a Denver workforce that has allowed 30 or extra factors in three video games this season. — Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Jordan Love has thrown one landing move and 5 interceptions in his previous two video games (each Inexperienced Bay losses). He’s the primary Packers QB to throw a number of interceptions in back-to-back video games since Brett Hundley in December 2017. The final to throw a number of interceptions in three straight video games was Brett Favre in 2005.

Matchup X issue: Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson. Wilson really began strong this season, however his QBR has gone down every week — ending with only a 9.8 in final week’s loss to the Chiefs. He has to get again to early-season type if Denver goes to have an opportunity. — Walder

Accidents: Packers | Broncos

What to know for fantasy: Large receivers have scored the ninth-fewest fantasy factors per sport in opposition to the Packers’ protection. Managers trying to begin Wilson at QB and Jerry Jeudy or Courtland Sutton at WR this week ought to mood their expectations. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Based mostly on the present unfold, the Packers are favored for the primary time this season. They have been considered one of 5 groups that weren’t favored within the first six weeks, together with the Colts, Cardinals, Jets and Panthers. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Packers 31, Broncos 17
Walder’s choose: Packers 26, Broncos 24
FPI prediction: GB, 56.8% (by a mean of two.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jones hopes to spark Packers’ struggling offenseCan Wilson turn his season around?


4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: KC -5.5 (48)

Storyline to observe: Anticipate a detailed sport determined by lower than a landing as a result of that is what this rivalry has develop into. 5 of the previous six video games between the Chiefs and Chargers have been determined by six factors or fewer, with two ending in time beyond regulation. The outlier was a 38-21 blowout win for the Chargers within the remaining sport of the 2020 season when the Chiefs rested their key gamers after securing the highest playoff seed. All 5 of L.A.’s video games this season have been determined by seven factors or fewer, and it could be an upset if this sport deviated from the current Chiefs-Chargers sample. — Adam Teicher

Daring prediction: Kansas Metropolis will sack quarterback Justin Herbert at the least 3 times. Herbert and the Chargers’ offense have not seemed like themselves their previous two video games, beginning with a Week 4 matchup in opposition to the Raiders that included profession lows in completions and passing yards for Herbert together with a fractured left finger. In keeping with Subsequent Gen Stats, the Cowboys pressured Herbert on 47.6% of his dropbacks in Week 6, the very best fee of stress he has confronted this season. Kansas Metropolis’s protection is twelfth within the league with 17 sacks and will make the most of a struggling offensive line and an injured quarterback. — Kris Rhim

Stat to know: Arguably no two QBs have been higher on the transfer or when pressured because the begin of the 2020 season than Patrick Mahomes and Herbert. They each rank high 5 in QBR underneath stress, outdoors the pocket, and when blitzed over that span.

Matchup X issue: Chiefs large receivers Skyy Moore, Kadarius Toney, Rashee Rice, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mecole Hardman or Justyn Ross. Mahomes simply wants considered one of these guys to step up as a second receiving possibility behind tight finish Travis Kelce to kick the Kansas Metropolis offense into gear. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Chiefs

What to know for fantasy: The Chargers’ secondary has points, permitting essentially the most passing yards per sport within the NFL. The Chargers’ protection additionally leads the league in third-down penalties, which is nice information for fantasy managers who’ve Chiefs of their fantasy lineups. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: That is Mahomes’ 53rd house begin, together with playoffs, and the 52nd by which the Chiefs have been favored. The lone exception got here final season in a loss to the Payments. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 31, Chargers 27
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 28, Chargers 21
FPI prediction: KC, 68.5% (by a mean of 6.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Herbert again struggles in loss to CowboysHardman heads back to Chiefs in trade with Jets


8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: PHI -1.5 (51.5)

Storyline to observe: Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts, former teammates and opponents within the Alabama quarterback room, sq. off for the primary time on the skilled stage. They steward the highest two offenses within the NFL in yards per sport (Miami: 498.7 yards per sport; Philadelphia: 395.0). This matchup may even function the NFL’s high two speeding groups (Miami: 181.8 ypg; Philadelphia: 150). — Tim McManus

Daring prediction: Miami’s protection will rating a landing. The Dolphins’ three-game drought with out forcing a turnover will finish Sunday evening. Hurts has already surpassed his interception whole from final season (seven), and he and the Eagles are coming off a four-turnover sport final week. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Stat to know: A giant consider Miami’s success is its quantity and effectiveness with movement on the snap. The Dolphins have a participant in movement on the snap on 60% of their performs, the very best fee by any workforce since ESPN started monitoring movement in 2017. Miami has excelled on these performs as effectively, main the NFL in yards per play and yards per rush, however the Eagles’ protection has defended movement on the snap effectively, rating second in yards per play when movement is concerned.

Matchup X issue: Dolphins defensive deal with Christian Wilkins. I am nonetheless ready for the expertise of the Miami protection to yield outcomes, however Wilkins is making an affect speeding the passer. Along with his 3.5 sacks, Wilkins ranks fourth in move rush win fee at defensive deal with. — Walder

Accidents: Dolphins | Eagles

What to know for fantasy: Large receivers have scored the sixth-most fantasy factors per sport in opposition to the Eagles’ secondary. The Dolphins’ offense has been epic by way of the primary six weeks of the season. Begin all Miami gamers, together with Tagovailoa, who leads the league in passing yards and touchdowns. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Eagles are 12-1 in video games performed in September and October the previous two seasons, the most effective document within the NFL over that span. The one loss was final week in opposition to the Jets. Read more.

Moody’s choose: Dolphins 35, Eagles 30
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 30, Eagles 27
FPI prediction: MIA, 58.5% (by a mean of three factors)

Matchup must-reads: Ramsey practices after meniscus surgeryEagles about to enter toughest part of their schedule


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: SF -7 (44)

Storyline to observe: There might be loads of give attention to 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, who leads the NFL in QBR. However the matchup that can dictate whether or not this sport is shut will contain the 49ers’ protection, which is permitting an NFL-low 14.5 factors per sport. Taking part in their first sport with out injured receiver Justin Jefferson, the Vikings scored 12 offensive factors and managed 4.0 yards per play final week in opposition to the Bears’ porous protection, each season lows. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: Purdy will comply with his worst skilled sport by throwing for 3 landing passes and greater than 275 yards. The Vikings blitz at, by far, the very best fee within the league (57% of drop backs), however Purdy has repeatedly proved able to making opponents pay for that aggressive method. For the reason that begin of final season, Purdy has a QBR of 81 in opposition to the blitz, which ranks fourth within the NFL. Mixed together with his 8-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio in prime time, the recipe for a giant bounce again is there for Purdy. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to know: The 49ers haven’t misplaced the turnover battle in 16 straight video games, the longest streak because the Patriots did so in 21 straight throughout the 2011-12 seasons.

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Why Tyler Fulghum expects factors from the Niners

Tyler Fulghum explains why his favourite wager is the over workforce whole for the 49ers on “Monday Night time Soccer.”

Matchup X issue: Vikings proper deal with Brian O’Neill. He’ll be charged with stopping 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa, however O’Neill could be as much as the problem. He is enjoying nice in move safety, rating second in move block win fee (95%) amongst tackles. The Vikings want loads to go proper to beat the 49ers, and holding off Bosa is a giant one. — Walder

Accidents: 49ers | Vikings

What to know for fantasy: In opposition to the Browns final week, 49ers receivers have been confronted with man protection on round 70% of snaps. That, plus dropping operating again Christian McCaffrey and receiver Deebo Samuel to midgame accidents, precipitated Purdy to attain a season-low 7.7 fantasy factors. See Week 7 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Vikings have not been a house underdog of seven or extra factors since 2014. They and the Chiefs are the one groups to to not be such an underdog prior to now 9 seasons. Read more.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 29, Vikings 20
Walder’s choose: 49ers 26, Vikings 20
FPI prediction: SF, 69.8% (by a mean of seven.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: 49ers hope Gregory can help boost pass rushVikings pass-rusher Davenport on IR with ankle sprainSources: McCaffrey avoids serious injury, could play on MNFVikings’ offense sluggish without Jefferson

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