Stanley Cup Final betting tips

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The Stanley Cup Final will see the meeting of the preseason favorites for the first time since 2009. The Colorado Avalanche The season was entered with +550 favourites, Tampa Bay Lightning They won their third consecutive title at 7-1

The Avalanche is -175 favorite to win their first Cup since 2001. The Lightning are +155. This is tied for the longest odds that they have faced to win a series over the past five seasons. In the second round, they beat the Panthers as +155 Underdogs.

You can catch all the action live on ABC or ESPN+ throughout the series, with the puck dropping in Game 1. Wednesday night At 8 EDT

Colorado Avalanche

  • Stanley Cup favorites the Avalanche were all season. Since the lockout, no team was wire-to–wire favorite to win the title. They would join the 2020 Lightning as the second preseason favourite to win the title.

  • Over the two previous postseasons, Avalanche are 5-0 in game 1’s and outscoring their rivals 29-12.

  • The Avalanche are 7-1 on the road in this postseason and have covered the puck line five times.

  • The Avalanche won both regular seasons meetings by one goal. They also won a shootout.

Play

1:07

Enjoy the best moments from the Lightning and Avalanche’s postseason ahead of Wednesday’s Stanley Cup Final Game 1 matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • In Game 1, the Lightning are +140 underdogs Their longest odds of winning any game in five seasons is +145. This includes four wins, as well as two in this postseason.

  • Ten of the eleven Lightning playoff games in the past 11 years have fallen below the total.

  • Over the last five seasons, Andrei Vasilevskiy is 26-10-2 (+22.21 units) as an underdog, including 14-3 (+13.2 units) in the postseason. Overall, Vasilevskiy is 17-8 (+12.77 units) as an underdog in the postseason in his career. The Lightning are 5-2 in the postseason as an underdog (+4.2 units).

  • The Lightning have won 8 consecutive home playoff matches (8-1 overall this playoff season), and they’ve won 13 out of 14 home playoff games since last year.

  • The Lightning won the Stanley Cup Final 8-3 (+3.31 units) in the previous two seasons. They were the favorite in all of these games.

Stanley Cup History

  • Since 2005 lockout, home teams are currently 13-2 in Game 1, excluding the 2020 bubble. In the Stanley Cup Finals, overs have a record of 4-0-1 in Game 1. Each game is decided by multiple goals.

  • The Stanley Cup Final has been a best-of-7 series since 1939. Teams that win Game 1 have a series record of 62-20 (.756). The Cup was won by three of the four teams that lost the first game: St. Louis (2019), Tampa Bay (2025), and Washington (2018).

  • The home teams are now 35-10 in the Stanley Cup Final’s first three games, except for the 2020 bubble. They were 24-21 in Games 4-7 (Game 6 and Game 7), respectively.

  • Favorites won eight of the 10 Stanley Cup Finals. However, they split the four previous seasons.

  • This postseason, home teams are 51-32 (+6.15 units). Road teams had been +23.63 in the non-bubble previous postseasons.

Odds from Caesars Sportsbook and SportsOddsHistory.com

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