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What you need to know about Game 7
Miami Sweet Home: In the NBA playoffs, there have been 145 Game 7s and home teams have won 76% of them. The Heat are 7-2 at-home in the postseason. They lost Games 2 through 5 after starting the postseason 7-1 at their home. Miami is currently 6-4 in Game 7s. Spoelstra’s coaching, the Heat are 4-2, with a perfect 4-0 home record. In the six previous Game 7s Spoelstra played, the Heat had a +6.0 point differential.
Jimmy Buckets Jimmy Butler The offensive attack was led by Miami’s Butler in a resurgent performance. He scored more points than any other game (47 vs 27). Butler ended with 47 points, 9 Rebs, 8 Asts and 4 steals. This was one of the most impressive performances in Heat and NBA history. Butler’s 47 points is the highest Heat player score when facing elimination. Coincidentally, the top three Heat performances have all been against the Celtics.
Have been there, done that. The Celtics are experts when it comes down to Game 7s. They have won more Game 7s than any other team. They are currently 25-9 in Game 7s and have a.735 win percentage in Game 7s. This is the best among all franchises that have played at least two games. They are 4-4 in 7-on-7 road games.
— ESPN Stats & Information
Game 7: Breaking down
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
8:30 p.m. ET, FTX Arena Miami
Line: Celtics (-2.5)
Moneyline: Celtics (-140), Heat (+120)
Total: 195.5 points
BPI Win% Heat (51.3%)
Questionable: Marcus Smart (ankle), Tyler Herro (groin), Robert Williams III (knee), Tyler Hero(groin), Max Strus (“hamstring”), Gabe Vincent (“hamstring”)
Exclusion: None
Notice: BPI numbers take into account players who have been ruled out, but assumes that players with questionable records will play.
Notable: The total of 195.5 is the lowest for any game this season (first under 200 game) and it’s the lowest for any playoff game since 2018.
Notable: In the past 30 seasons, the Heat have been the home underdog in seven games. This excludes the 2020 bubble. The two previous teams went 1-1 and ATS. – ESPN Stats & Information
Best bet: Celtics -2.5, Over 195.5. The Heat stunned the world with their amazing performance in Game 6, which saw them win back their home court and gain momentum going into Game 7. Jimmy Butler’s 47-point performance was not enough to give the Heat an 8-point win. Let’s think about this for a while. I think the Celtics underestimated the Heat’s injury-prone team that was on the road. Boston is known for following a loss with a win. Game 6 was a wakeup call. Al Horford went 1 for 6 from deep, Smart was 1 for 9 from deep and Tatum had 7 turnovers. Brown had four turnovers. I don’t believe that we will see this again. This is also where I am playing the over, which is way too low considering that the over has already won 4 of the 6 games. Although I respect the defense’s efforts, this court has way too many firepower. – Anita Marks
The best bet is: Jaylen brown over 24.5 points Brown is going to be a key player for the Celtics. He scored 20 points in Game 6 but only two points in the second half. It is unlikely that this will be the case tonight. Brown insisted that the Celtics would win Game 7 after Game 6. In 2022 playoffs, Brown averaged 23 PPG. Brown has a chance to lead the Celtics’ scoring in Game 7. Eric Moody
Best Bet: More than 195.5. To begin the series, I was pushing the over because, despite the excellent defenses of both teams, these two can score well on each other. These two teams combined scored at least 200 points in five games, going back to the regular season. Their average score was 216.8 PPG. In Games 4 and 5, Heat suffered a series of injuries that led to two historically poor scoring games, and two unders. With the Heat playing well in Game 6, their score was back to normal and they scored a typical 214 points. Although Game 7s can be defensive, they are usually offensive affairs. However, teams should aim for more than 195.5 if they are healthy. –– Andre Snellings
The best bet is: Jayson Tatum Over 41.5 points + assists + rebound. This game is late, which means Tatum will likely put a lot of money on the board. Tatum has averaged 33.3 ppg, 8.5 rpg and 5.3 apg in the Bucks/Celtics series. Tatum also crossed over 41.5 PAR the three previous games. Tatum’s last three games have seen him average 27.7 PPG (9.7 RPG) and 6.0 APG. He has also gone over 41.5 PAR three times. If Tatum is healthy, I expect him to be big in Game 7. — Andre Snellings
Best bet: Jimmy Butler with over 40.5 points + assists + rebound. Butler ‘overs’ have been among the most profitable bets in the playoffs. Only one exception was Game 3, when his knee started to hurt. He bounced back strongly in Game 6 and I don’t think we’ll see any less of him in crucial Game 7. As he attempts to take the Heat to the Finals, I can’t believe we’ll be seeing anything less than Super-Butler. — Andre Snellings